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Treasury Yields Decline


Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, and other Fed officials, on Wednesday warned of higher interest rates than markets are anticipating.

After Tuesday’s very poorly received three-year note auction, yesterday’s 10-year note auction had some of the strongest metrics in history.

The Treasury will auction 30-year bonds today.

Most likely the Federal Open Market Committee will increase its fed funds rate by 25 basis points at its March meeting.

The long term outlook for futures is higher.


Stock index futures are higher due to today’s falling yields on Treasuries.

Jobless claims in the week ended February 4 were 196,000 when 192,000 were expected.

The technical aspects for stock index futures remain supportive.


The U.S. dollar index fell sharply against a basket of major currencies, ignoring hawkish remarks on interest rates in the U.S. from several Fed officials.

In addition, some of the selling is due to the larger that predicted jobless claims report.

Interest rate differentials are neutral for the U.S. dollar index, and breakouts for the greenback are likely to fail in both directions.

The annual inflation rate in Germany in January was 8.7%, which compares to the anticipated 8.9%.


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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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