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S&P500 Record High

STOCK INDEX FUTURES  

S&P500 and NASDAQ futures advanced to new record highs.

Traders will be closely watching the U.S. Federal Reserve’s annual Jackson Hole meeting later in the week.

The July Chicago Federal Reserve national activity index was 1.18, which compares to the revised 5.33 last month.

Traders believe the Federal Reserve will do more to support the economy if required.

U.S. stock index futures are performing well for the news and continue to have upside momentum.

CURRENCY FUTURES

The U.S. dollar is lower, and the euro currency is higher.

Some of the bears on the greenback are speculating that the Federal Reserve may loosen its approach to inflation, which could happen at its next policy meeting in September.

The U.S. dollar is likely to trend lower.

The Australian dollar is higher despite the country’s treasury saying the unemployment rate in Australia could climb above 13%.

INTEREST RATE MARKET FUTURES

Futures are mixed. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note ticked up to 0.643% from 0.639% Friday.

The Kansas City Federal Reserve will hold its 44th Annual Economic Policy Symposium later this week. “Navigating the Decade Ahead: Implications for Monetary Policy” is the theme.

Thursday is the first day of the two-day virtual event that will include international central bankers, Federal Reserve officials, academics and private sector economists participating via an online, live-streamed format.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is anticipated to outline the central bank’s inflation strategy. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey also will address the conference.

Interest rate market futures, especially at the short end of the curve are likely to be supported by ideas that major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, will keep short term interest rates low for an extended period.

The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting is scheduled for September 16. Financial futures markets are predicting there is an 88% probability that the FOMC will maintain its fed funds target rate at zero to 25 basis points.

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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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