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Hurricane Zeta Damage Reduced

COTTON

The market experienced follow through selling to help confirm a significant top pattern for December cotton. The hurricane hit hard in a small area of the Delta and the system moved very quickly to the East Coast so damage ideas have been reduced. The 6-10 day forecast calls for below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures across the cotton growing areas, which should give the fields a chance to dry out.

COCOA

December cocoa fell under pressure again and dropped to a new 2-week low. European and US equity markets were able to regain their strength, but that was more than offset by a sharp selloff in the Eurocurrency that weighed on cocoa prices as they will make it more difficult for European grinders to acquire near-term supplies. In addition, there were reports that Ivory Coast was having difficulty selling their remaining 2019/20 mid-crop cocoa supply due to the decline in global demand, and that also weighed on the cocoa market as that would add to this season’s newly-harvested main crop supplies.

COFFEE

Coffee has rejected breakout moves from its recent consolidation zone in both directions over the past 3 sessions, and that may point towards further consolidation short-term. Continued weakness in the Brazilian currency as it reached a new 5-month low weighed on the coffee market as that could make their nation’s producers more aggressive with marketing their near-term supply to foreign customers.

SUGAR

With global risk sentiment subdued, sugar could see significant long liquidation and profit-taking. The market has seen 3 pullbacks from a new high for the move of 3% or larger over the past 2 weeks, however, and that may be enough to fuel additional end-of-week and end-of-month long liquidation. March sugar was unable to shake off early pressure yesterday and finished with a heavy loss.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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