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Cocoa Needs Better Demand Tone

COCOA

Ongoing concern with near-term demand prospects have weighed on the cocoa market this week, with Russia invasion of Ukraine impacting the European demand outlook while expanding COVID lockdowns in China casting a shadow over the Asian demand outlook. In addition, a rebound in the Eurocurrency and British Pound provided carryover support that lifted cocoa prices well clear of the early lows.

COFFEE

If global risk sentiment continues to improve, coffee may be in position to bounce. Rising ICE exchange coffee stocks have weighed on prices as that could indicate global export bottlenecks may be easing.

COTTON

The close above 121.83 for May cotton is a bullish technical development. The market was supported by a sharply lower dollar and rallies in equities and crude oil yesterday, as well as another strong week for export sales. There is plenty of rain for central and eastern Texas in the 1-5 day forecast models, but little rain for West Texas.

SUGAR

A sizable recovery move in crude oil and RBOB gasoline prices provided significant carryover support to the sugar market as they can help to shore up ethanol demand in Brazil and India. In addition, the Brazilian currency extended its rally for a second day which also boosted sugar prices as that eases pressure on Center-South mills to produce sugar for the global export market.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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