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Beef Prices Falling


The daily load movement of boxed beef has been increasing.  At the same time beef prices have been falling.  Going forward it will be important to watch if daily load movement continues to increase, becomes larger or if it drops. An increasing load movement with falling prices indicates less beef is being contracted and likely less beef is being sold for the export markets.

The world is also going to flush with pork in 2022. Russia has been increasing production since 2009 with large increases over the past 5 years. After two bouts of Chicken Flu, China has rebuilt the egg and chicken population.  Like hogs and cattle, Brazil poultry numbers are growing.

A lower US cattle inventory is needed but it may be a little too late to see price improvement over what futures are now offering with spreads.

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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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